Chernobyl Accident
For Belarus,
there is a 15 national estimate of $235B for 1986-2015
attributed to “aggregate damage” and for Ukraine, there is a 25-year estimate
for “total economic loss” of $198B. Scaled to 30 years,
the Ukraine estimate of around $240B is
quite comparable to that for Belarus. In our 2013 report, we identified a population of 10,000,000 as “exposed” in a
relatively broad sense to radiation and the disaster, approximately
one-third each from Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus.
Thus, tripling either the Ukraine or Belarus 30-year estimates to cover the full exposed population leads
to a total of around $700B in costs for the 30
years, assuming the same cost figures apply to Russia. This estimate involves a
number of assumptions and must be considered as uncertain, but it is based on
governmental figures.
However, regardless of the inherent uncertainty the figure is high and existing estimates would support overall
costs of hundreds of billions.
Chernobyl - Say: US$750 billion
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Fukushima Accident
TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan’s government on Friday nearly doubled its projections for costs related to the Fukushima nuclear disaster to 21.5 trillion yen ($188 billion), increasing pressure on Tokyo Electric Power (Tepco) to step up reform and improve its performance.
Fukushima - Say: US$200
billion
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Other Accidents
Cost of Nuclear Accidents in
France, Germany, India, UK and USA [Including TMI] = [2006] US$9,753 million.
Note: Japan and South Korea accidents are not costed.
Add in, Say: US$1,000
million = US$10,753 million.
Then + 19.05% inflation to
2016: US$12,800 million
Everything Else - Say US$46 billion
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Total [All Nuclear Accidents]:
US$0.996 trillion
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Healthcare
Savings
“…For coal…… associated economic values of health impacts are [2012] $0.19–$0.45/kWh…”.
Average = $0.32/kWh
Add 3.11% for 2014 value: Average
= $0.33/kWh
But the USA did not burn all
of the coal to generate 76,560 TWh of electricity – and US healthcare costs are
much higher than most other nations.
A % of 76,560 TWh needs to
be apportioned to significant nuclear power nations and their healthcare costs, as a % of USA healthcare costs, applied to that figure:
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Cost of Nuclear Power
Accidents:
US$0.996 trillion
Nuclear Power
Healthcare Savings:
US$14.95
trillion
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FINAL SCORE
ACCIDENTS
1 : SAVINGS 15
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